Although there are no guarantees, history shows that successful protocols tend have certain characteristics in common. By a "successful" protocol, we mean one which becomes accepted as an industry standard in the face of competing protocols, endures as an standard in the long term, and serves to promote the growth of the industry.
Some of the characteristics which improve a protocol's chances are:
Not all successful protocols have all these attributes. Nevertheless, the history of protocol development demonstrates that the more a protocol conforms to these attributes, the more likely it is to become an enduring industry standard.
The characteristics of various protocols are listed in Table 1. The protocols are arranged in groups, where each group represents a set of competing protocols. The table lists the major characteristics of each protocol, along with its ultimate success or failure. Note that there is only one eventual winner in each group.
Note how certain characteristics correlate well with eventual protocol success - for example, in all cases the winning protocol was free of usage restrictions. Other characteristics do not appear to influence the eventual outcome - for example, endorsement by a standards organization does not greatly increase a protocol's chances.